Updated Champions League advancement probabilities after Matchday 5

News
27 November 2025 17:04
32
Updated Champions League advancement probabilities after Matchday 5

Following Matchday 5 of the UEFA Champions League group stage, the probabilities of teams advancing to the next round have been updated.

Idman.Biz reports that Qarabag’s chance of reaching the next stage is 68%, while the likelihood of the Azerbaijani club directly qualifying for the round of 16 is only 0.2%.

The ranking is led by England’s Arsenal, whose probability of advancing to the round of 16 is 99.99%, with a 100% chance of finishing in the top 24.

Turkiye’s Galatasaray has a 93% chance to reach the playoffs, while the probability of direct round-of-16 qualification is 4%.

Qarabag still has home games against Ajax and Eintracht Frankfurt, and an away game against Liverpool. After five matchdays, the team sits 19th with seven points.

Idman.Biz