Qarabag seeks 1 point for the championship - ANALYSIS

Analytics
18 March 2024 11:27
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Qarabag seeks 1 point for the championship - ANALYSIS

The third period in the Azerbaijan Premier League has ended.

Idman.biz reports that the XXVII round brought Qarabag even closer to the championship.

Gurban Gurbanov's team won against Turan Tovuz with a score of 3:1. Sumgayit and Sabail as the representatives of Tovuz, who are ambitious for prizes and live with the dream of the European Cup, finished the tour without points.

26-point advantage
Qarabag with 66 points leads the tournament table. Sabah and Neftchi are 26 points behind the leader. Baku clubs with 40 points are closely followed by Zira and Sumgayit. These two teams have 39 points. Sabail has 37 points, Turan Tovuz has 35 points.

Three teams said goodbye to the championship
After the results of the XXVII round, three more teams said goodbye to their chance to win the championship. Turan Tovuz, Sabail and Sumgayit also lost their theoretical chances to win a gold medal. Even if these teams won 9 victories, they will not be able to take advantage of Qarabag remaining scoreless. It is true that the representative of Sumgayit with the same name will reach the leader in terms of points. But the results of the individual games overshadow the championship dream of Samir Abasov's team.

Only three competitors left
1 cycle- 9 rounds left to the finish, only three teams can prevent the championship of Qarabag. These are Sabah, Neftchi and Zira. Baku clubs must win all subsequent matches. As if this was a mistake, Aghdam club should not win points. In this way, the Armored team will have reached the leader, and in order to gain an advantage in personal meetings, they must defeat their main opponent by a large score.

Qarabag won the prize: Already in Europe
Although there are already three teams in Europe with the possibility of passing Qarabag, only one of them will do it. Because Sabah, Neftchi and Zira will also have games between themselves. All three teams must collect 27 points and wait for Qarabag to lose 9 times. But only one of the Baku clubs can collect 27 points. The other two who lost to him won't make it.
This means that Qarabag secured at least the silver medal. The Aghdam club, which formalized its place among the award winners, also qualified for the European Cup.

The start of the period
will be held after the break due to the games of the national teams in the IV period. Qarabag will be a guest on its own field. Gurban Gurbanov's team will meet Kapaz, which is trying to stay in the Premier League, at Tofig Bahramov Stadium. In the tour on March 29-31, two of the followers will meet Sabah and Zira. Neftchi will be a guest in Gabala. The other two matches at the beginning of the period are insignificant from the point of view of the championship.

Don't lose, be a champion!
At first glance, it can be thought that Qarabag needs a victory to formalize the championship in the XXVIII round. But actually one point is enough for the championship. If Gurbanov's team does not lose to Kapaz, they will find the owner of gold medals.
With a draw, the number of points of Qarabag will increase to 67. Theoretically, Sabah and Neftchi can end the season with the same number of points. But both representatives of the capital lost to the people of Aghdam in individual games. The leader who will gain one point will become unattainable for Zira.

Even with a defeat, the championship can be won
Qarabag, which has not lost to Kapaz for many years, can formalize the championship even if it loses. For this, none of Sabah, Zira and Neftchi should win. Black-whites must return from Gabala with a point loss. The capital derby between the other two teams should end in a draw.

2nd star to Gurbanov
Qarabag has a very low probability of losing in the XXVIII round. If there is no sensation, the Aghdam team will win the 11th championship in its history. The team that added the 2nd star to its logo in the 10th championship will move towards the 3rd "five". This will be the third gold medal in a row. The 10th victory won in the last 11 years will increase Gurbanov's number of championships to 10.

Vugar Kheyrullayev
Idman.biz